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The CAR Method for Using Preference Strength in Multi-criteria Decision Making

机译:在多准则决策中使用偏好强度的CAR方法

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摘要

Multi-criteria decision aid (MCDA) methods have been around for quite some time. However, the elicitation of preference information in MCDA processes, and in particular the lack of practical means supporting it, is still a significant problem in real-life applications of MCDA. There is obviously a need for methods that neither require formal decision analysis knowledge, nor are too cognitively demanding by forcing people to express unrealistic precision or to state more than they are able to. We suggest a method, the CAR method, which is more accessible than our earlier approaches in the field while trying to balance between the need for simplicity and the requirement of accuracy. CAR takes primarily ordinal knowledge into account, but, still recognizing that there is sometimes a quite substantial information loss involved in ordinality, we have conservatively extended a pure ordinal scale approach with the possibility to supply more information. Thus, the main idea here is not to suggest a method or tool with a very large or complex expressibility, but rather to investigate one that should be sufficient in most situations, and in particular better, at least in some respects, than some hitherto popular ones from the SMART family as well as AHP, which we demonstrate in a set of simulation studies as well as a large end-user study.
机译:多准则决策辅助(MCDA)方法已经存在了一段时间。但是,在MCDA流程中引发偏好信息,尤其是缺乏支持它的实际手段,仍然是MCDA在现实生活中的重要问题。显然需要一种方法,既不需要形式决策分析知识,也不需要通过强迫人们表达不切实际的准确性或陈述超出其能力的认知要求。我们建议一种方法,即CAR方法,该方法比我们在该领域的早期方法更易于访问,同时力求在简单性和准确性之间取得平衡。 CAR主要考虑了序数知识,但是,尽管仍意识到有时序会涉及相当多的信息丢失,所以我们保守地扩展了纯粹序数法,可以提供更多信息。因此,这里的主要思想不是建议具有非常大或复杂的可表达性的方法或工具,而是研究一种在大多数情况下应该是足够的,尤其是至少在某些方面要优于迄今为止流行的方法或工具。我们在一系列模拟研究以及大型最终用户研究中证明了SMART系列和AHP的产品。

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  • 作者

    Danielson, M.; Ekenberg, L.;

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  • 年度 2016
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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